captmorgandrinker | 1,649 Administrator · Posted November 18, 2021 Share Posted November 18, 2021 On 10/17/2021 at 6:33 PM, Bearcat-Doug said: This is awesome except the playoff committee will manage to find a way to screw them out of a playoff spot again. Yep. You need to become a Utah fan right about now, because their only way in is if Oregon gets bounced out (or if Bama loses again somehow). With the whole OSU/Michigan State/Michigan glob, one of those three is going to be in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bearcat-Doug | 5,104 Posted November 18, 2021 Author Share Posted November 18, 2021 33 minutes ago, captmorgandrinker said: Yep. You need to become a Utah fan right about now, because their only way in is if Oregon gets bounced out (or if Bama loses again somehow). With the whole OSU/Michigan State/Michigan glob, one of those three is going to be in. Utah is actually favored by 3. I don't think I'd take that bet, but I hope they're right. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
captmorgandrinker | 1,649 Administrator · Posted November 19, 2021 Share Posted November 19, 2021 18 hours ago, Bearcat-Doug said: Utah is actually favored by 3. I don't think I'd take that bet, but I hope they're right. That's a bit stunning. Almost worth it to throw money at Oregon's money line (+140 when I last looked) for that. I know it's at Utah, but I don't that stadium is so rowdy as to affect opponents. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bearcat-Doug | 5,104 Posted November 19, 2021 Author Share Posted November 19, 2021 2 hours ago, captmorgandrinker said: That's a bit stunning. Almost worth it to throw money at Oregon's money line (+140 when I last looked) for that. I know it's at Utah, but I don't that stadium is so rowdy as to affect opponents. It makes Oregon's #3 ranking look a bit suspect when the oddsmakers are suggesting that they are basically even with the #23 team. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Reed Rothchild | 9,510 Editorials Team · Posted November 19, 2021 Share Posted November 19, 2021 I mean, no offense Doug but no team has ever gotten a playoff berth with a schedule this weak: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bearcat-Doug | 5,104 Posted November 19, 2021 Author Share Posted November 19, 2021 1 hour ago, Reed Rothchild said: I mean, no offense Doug but no team has ever gotten a playoff berth with a schedule this weak: Oregon's schedule isn't any better and they have a loss to 3-7 Stanford that seems not to count against them for whatever reason. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Reed Rothchild | 9,510 Editorials Team · Posted November 19, 2021 Share Posted November 19, 2021 1 hour ago, Bearcat-Doug said: Oregon's schedule isn't any better and they have a loss to 3-7 Stanford that seems not to count against them for whatever reason. If they win out they add a ranked Oregon and a Pac10 title to the resume. They're 12 spots higher on SOS and it would only go up. Georgia Bama Big Ten Oregon/Oklahoma/Big Ten I just don't see it happening for Cincy unless a lot of teams fall apart. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bearcat-Doug | 5,104 Posted November 19, 2021 Author Share Posted November 19, 2021 2 hours ago, Reed Rothchild said: If they win out they add a ranked Oregon and a Pac10 title to the resume. They're 12 spots higher on SOS and it would only go up. Georgia Bama Big Ten Oregon/Oklahoma/Big Ten I just don't see it happening for Cincy unless a lot of teams fall apart. They're already on the outside looking in, so they likely need Oregon or Alabama to lose or Michigan State to beat Ohio State than have Ohio State beat Michigan to keep the Big 10 out. It's been a crazy season, so there is a chance, even if it's an unlikely one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
captmorgandrinker | 1,649 Administrator · Posted November 20, 2021 Share Posted November 20, 2021 2 hours ago, Bearcat-Doug said: They're already on the outside looking in, so they likely need Oregon or Alabama to lose or Michigan State to beat Ohio State than have Ohio State beat Michigan to keep the Big 10 out. It's been a crazy season, so there is a chance, even if it's an unlikely one. If that happens you still need Michigan State to pick up a second loss somewhere. 5 hours ago, Reed Rothchild said: If they win out they add a ranked Oregon and a Pac10 title to the resume. They're 12 spots higher on SOS and it would only go up. Georgia Bama Big Ten Oregon/Oklahoma/Big Ten I just don't see it happening for Cincy unless a lot of teams fall apart. Oklahoma already shit down their leg, and even then the committee already had Cincy ahead of them. No way Big Ten takes two spots. You'd need some serious shit to happen for two of MSU/OSU/Michigan to only end up with one loss each aka OSU losing to both. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bearcat-Doug | 5,104 Posted November 20, 2021 Author Share Posted November 20, 2021 Just now, captmorgandrinker said: If that happens you still need Michigan State to pick up a second loss somewhere. Oklahoma already shit down their leg, and even then the committee already had Cincy ahead of them. No way Big Ten takes two spots. You'd need some serious shit to happen for two of MSU/OSU/Michigan to only end up with one loss each aka OSU losing to both. The easiest path for Cincinnati is likely Oregon losing to Utah tomorrow or in the PAC 12 championship game. Alabama might drop out if Georgia beats them handily in the SEC title game since I don't think a 2 loss team has made the playoff before. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
captmorgandrinker | 1,649 Administrator · Posted November 20, 2021 Share Posted November 20, 2021 2 minutes ago, Bearcat-Doug said: The easiest path for Cincinnati is likely Oregon losing to Utah tomorrow or in the PAC 12 championship game. Alabama might drop out if Georgia beats them handily in the SEC title game since I don't think a 2 loss team has made the playoff before. It may have happened before, but with so many other good one loss teams (and if Cincy stays undefeated) no way you can put a 2 loss team in there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bearcat-Doug | 5,104 Posted November 20, 2021 Author Share Posted November 20, 2021 Just now, captmorgandrinker said: It may have happened before, but with so many other good one loss teams (and if Cincy stays undefeated) no way you can put a 2 loss team in there. Even if Alabama loses a close game to Georgia, I can't see them staying in the top 4 where they would turn right around and play again in the playoff. Even if OSU and Oregon win out, Georgia beating Alabama should get Cincinnati in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bearcat-Doug | 5,104 Posted November 21, 2021 Author Share Posted November 21, 2021 On 11/18/2021 at 2:40 PM, captmorgandrinker said: Yep. You need to become a Utah fan right about now, because their only way in is if Oregon gets bounced out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bearcat-Doug | 5,104 Posted November 21, 2021 Author Share Posted November 21, 2021 The playoff committee is already hard at work trying to find a way to keep Cincinnati out of the top 4 on Tuesday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
captmorgandrinker | 1,649 Administrator · Posted November 21, 2021 Share Posted November 21, 2021 22 minutes ago, Bearcat-Doug said: Woof. Vegas line-setters definitely knew something we didn't. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bearcat-Doug | 5,104 Posted November 21, 2021 Author Share Posted November 21, 2021 Just now, captmorgandrinker said: Woof. Vegas line-setters definitely knew something we didn't. Always trust the pros. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
captmorgandrinker | 1,649 Administrator · Posted November 21, 2021 Share Posted November 21, 2021 9 minutes ago, Bearcat-Doug said: The playoff committee is already hard at work trying to find a way to keep Cincinnati out of the top 4 on Tuesday. The only upside is that they already had Cincy ahead of Oklahoma even when OU was undefeated. Can't see them suddenly sticking OU or Oklahoma State ahead of them. And then if they try to put Michigan ahead of them, that'll only last a week anyway. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
captmorgandrinker | 1,649 Administrator · Posted November 21, 2021 Share Posted November 21, 2021 @docile tapewormYou do football cards at all? Was pleased with the results from the Donruss holiday blaster I picked up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bearcat-Doug | 5,104 Posted November 21, 2021 Author Share Posted November 21, 2021 (edited) 12 minutes ago, captmorgandrinker said: The only upside is that they already had Cincy ahead of Oklahoma even when OU was undefeated. Can't see them suddenly sticking OU or Oklahoma State ahead of them. And then if they try to put Michigan ahead of them, that'll only last a week anyway. Oklahoma State isn't looking very good against Texas Tech only up 13-0 at halftime. I wouldn't be shocked if they moved Michigan up, but like you said, there's no way that Ohio State and Michigan stay there after next week unless there really is a conspiracy. Edited November 21, 2021 by Bearcat-Doug Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
captmorgandrinker | 1,649 Administrator · Posted November 21, 2021 Share Posted November 21, 2021 19 minutes ago, Bearcat-Doug said: Oklahoma State isn't looking very good against Texas Tech only up 13-0 at halftime. I wouldn't be shocked if they moved Michigan up, but like you said, there's no way that Ohio State and Michigan stay there after next week unless there really is a conspiracy. On another note, very glad I don't have a local bookie anymore. I was all for taking a 3 teamer of Michigan State (and the points), Oregon (either outright or points) and the over on OSU-TT (56). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bearcat-Doug | 5,104 Posted November 21, 2021 Author Share Posted November 21, 2021 2 minutes ago, captmorgandrinker said: On another note, very glad I don't have a local bookie anymore. I was all for taking a 3 teamer of Michigan State (and the points), Oregon (either outright or points) and the over on OSU-TT (56). I haven't bet anything since I took Cincinnati +400 against Indiana after they started the game down 14-0. It's probably for the best since they haven't been too good at covering the spread this season. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Reed Rothchild | 9,510 Editorials Team · Posted November 21, 2021 Share Posted November 21, 2021 39 minutes ago, Bearcat-Doug said: The playoff committee is already hard at work trying to find a way to keep Cincinnati out of the top 4 on Tuesday. SOS, SOS, SOS, SOS Just the unfortunate reality for the also-ran conferences. They really needed 3 quality OOC games, not an FCS squad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bearcat-Doug | 5,104 Posted November 21, 2021 Author Share Posted November 21, 2021 1 minute ago, Reed Rothchild said: SOS, SOS, SOS, SOS Just the unfortunate reality for the also-ran conferences. They really needed 3 quality OOC games, not an FCS squad. The Murray State game was rather pointless. Another beatable P5 team would have at least looked better on paper. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
captmorgandrinker | 1,649 Administrator · Posted November 21, 2021 Share Posted November 21, 2021 5 minutes ago, Reed Rothchild said: SOS, SOS, SOS, SOS Just the unfortunate reality for the also-ran conferences. They really needed 3 quality OOC games, not an FCS squad. Yes. Clearly they should have scheduled a juggernaut like Charleston Southern or New Mexico State. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Reed Rothchild | 9,510 Editorials Team · Posted November 21, 2021 Share Posted November 21, 2021 Just now, captmorgandrinker said: Yes. Clearly they should have scheduled a juggernaut like Charleston Southern or New Mexico State. When you play an SEC schedule, you could play 3 NAIA schools and still have a resume. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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